Is Federer Stronger in a TournamentWithout Nadal? An Evaluation of Odds and Seedings for Wimbledon 2009

Authors

  • Christoph Leitner Vienna University of Economics and Business
  • Achim Zeileis Vienna University of Economics and Business
  • Kurt Hornik Vienna University of Economics and Business

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17713/ajs.v38i4.280

Abstract

Wimbledon is one of the most popular annual sports tournament. In the Men’s Single 2009 the top seeded and defending champion Rafael Nadal withdrew from the tournament due to injury days prior to the tournament. Here, we try to analyze the effects of Nadal’s withdrawal especially on the ability/strength of the main competitor Roger Federer by using bookmakers expectancies to estimate the unknown abilities of the players and compare
them for two different odds sets. The comparison shows that the bookmakers
did not incorporate Nadal’s withdrawal adequately, assigning too high expected winning probabilities to Federer and Murray.

References

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Published

2016-04-03

How to Cite

Leitner, C., Zeileis, A., & Hornik, K. (2016). Is Federer Stronger in a TournamentWithout Nadal? An Evaluation of Odds and Seedings for Wimbledon 2009. Austrian Journal of Statistics, 38(4), 277–286. https://doi.org/10.17713/ajs.v38i4.280

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Articles